Am using Meteorological seasons.

• Spring starts March 20

• Summer starts June 20

• Autumn starts September 22

• Winter starts December 21

Any romantic relationships without the "girlfriend - boyfriend" label do not count. The two parties involved have to actually agree to the "girlfriend - boyfriend" label for this market to resolve.

The date of resolution is the date me and my partner actually agree to be GF-BF. It is not the date we meet each other or the date we start dating. We likely will need to date for months before agreeing to be serious partners.

Weirdly, considering I have a romantic disposition I think is rather polarizing (it takes a special kind of person to tolerate or embrace my quirkiness and absent-mindedness) I have never gone over a year without finding a new partner - hence this market to remind myself of this fact whenever I go through the inevitable "I'm ganna die alone waaaaa!" feels again.

I guess technically an attractive and savvy forecaster on this platform could find me and seduce me and do all sorts of domineering malicious things to me that only superforcaster women with lots of mana could do to a Gold rank pleb like me to force me to agree to be her boyfriend, only to leave me right after this market resolves and take all my mana with her.

Except why would anyone do such a despicable insider trading thing? Also for unrelated reasons attractive and savvy women on this platform can find me at Whisk Matcha Cafe in Vancouver (very cute cafe!) where we can discuss how to combat the pernicious problem of insider trading on this platform.

---

Ok, actual info that would help make an accurate forecast:

• I'm highly unlikely to say yes to being someone's boyfriend if I don't feel like it will last > 1 year for whatever reason. I have lots of experience dating ethically and casually in cases where I don't see long-term potential.

• Me having a model of the person as "EA-adjacent" and/or "Rationality-adjacent" I have learnt is a requirement for me to fall in love with someone - I don't care how hot she is. If I do not see this in her I wont be able to fall in love.

  • Given the Great EA-Rat Girl Famine all EA-Rat men are suffering through this might make things harder for me :(

• I am not spending any energy on dating apps. I just meet people at social gatherings and ask people out I find cute and interesting (has worked well enough for me in the past 2 years - I'll get on dating apps next year if this year does not pan out).

• Track record:

  • ~1.5 year relationship 2011-2013
    (ok I lied, there was certainly > 1 year wait over here)

  • ~6 month 2015

  • ~3 month 2016

  • ~5 year relationship 2017-2022

  • ~6 months 2022-2023

  • ~6 months 2024