Will the Sulawesi Cardinal Shrimp (Caridina dennerli) become extinct by 2100?
2
100Ṁ412100
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Sulawesi Cardinal Shrimp, a species that was classified as Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild) on the IUCN Red List in 2018. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Sulawesi Cardinal Shrimp persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the wild population of the Vaquita (Phocoena sinus) become extinct by 2100?
96% chance
Will the wild population of the Sulawesi Cardinal Shrimp (Caridina dennerli) become extinct by 2100?
93% chance
Will the wild population of the Lion (Panthera leo) become extinct by 2100?
33% chance
Will shrimp go extinct before 2030?
3% chance
Will the wild population of the Polar Bear (Ursus maritimus) become extinct by 2100?
43% chance
Will the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) become extinct by 2100?
34% chance
Will the Ryukyuan Pygmy Squid (Idiosepius kijimuna) become extinct by 2100?
38% chance
Will the wild population of the Sumatran Rhinoceros (Dicerorhinus sumatrensis) become extinct by 2100?
87% chance
Will the wild population of the Ryukyuan Pygmy Squid (Idiosepius kijimuna) become extinct by 2100?
40% chance
Will the wild population of the Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) become extinct by 2100?
42% chance