Per Manifold Markets prediction market, France, followed by Argentina and England are most likely. See the market for live updates (19 traders, as of Jul 12, 2026).

World Cup Winner

MANIFOLD

World Cup Winner

Ṁ200Ṁ2.6k

Jul 14

1.0%

USA

1.0%

Portugal

18%

Argentina

17%

England

43%

France

17%

Spain

1.0%

Brazil

1.0%

Morocco

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