Worries about this were expressed by Jaime Harrison, AOC, and others as a reason for Biden not to drop out, and to nominate him early before the convention.
Related:
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Ṁ43 |
@Conflux up to you for when to resolve, but voting has been happening for a while in Ohio https://www.ohiosos.gov/elections/voters/current-voting-schedule/2024-schedule/. absentee voting began at end of september, early in person voting last week, etc, and now voting by mail. so kamala is very much on the ballot. but if this question is narrowly about "what we see on election day" then you can wait longer (but the "ballot" is very much already set and people have voted using it)