Will Proof School host an official dance this school year? | Manifold Markets

closes Jun 11

Will Proof School host an official dance this school year?

85%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Proof School hosted a (~high-school) dance last school year for the first time. It was fairly popular, but the student and teacher who really spearheaded the effort have both left the school.

This market resolves YES if a dance is held which is promoted by the school as a Proof event (regardless of whether all students are invited, or whether non-students are) and NO otherwise.

YES shares

2,851

1,585

630

85

44

Mira Krishnaiah

33

22

21

18

16

11

10

NO shares

4,244

William Hargraves (bot)

241

AccelerationBot

214

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

163

80

63

60

60

25

Joshua bought Ṁ60 YES from 82% to 85%

jellybean bought Ṁ10 NO from 85% to 82%

Joshua bought Ṁ40 YES from 83% to 85%

Elizabeth Ying bought Ṁ10 NO from 86% to 83%

Conflux sold Ṁ7 NO from 83% to 86%

cece sold Ṁ28 YES from 85% to 83%

Joshua bought Ṁ20 YES from 84% to 85%

Trong sold Ṁ46 YES from 86% to 84%

Conflux created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 80%

stq bought Ṁ10 NO from 89% to 86%

cece bought Ṁ30 YES from 88% to 89%

cece sold Ṁ15 NO from 84% to 88%

Conflux bought Ṁ20 NO from 89% to 84%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ3 NO at 89%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 90% (cancelled)

Hannah Fox sold Ṁ30 NO from 84% to 92%

Joshua sold Ṁ16 YES from 85% to 84%

Anish Sarkar bought Ṁ10 YES from 84% to 85%

Joshua sold Ṁ16 YES from 85% to 84%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ18/Ṁ100 YES at 85% (cancelled)

Joshua bought Ṁ30 YES from 82% to 84%

Conflux bought Ṁ20 NO from 88% to 82%

Conflux sold Ṁ6 NO from 86% to 88%

Joshua sold Ṁ88 YES from 90% to 86%

Conflux bought Ṁ10 NO from 92% to 90%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ4 NO at 92%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ100 NO at 93% (cancelled)

audrey sold Ṁ56 NO from 87% to 95%

Conflux sold Ṁ35 NO from 75% to 87%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 YES at 75% (cancelled)

audrey bought Ṁ50 NO from 84% to 73%

audrey bought Ṁ10 NO from 87% to 84%

Conflux filled limit order Ṁ75/Ṁ75 YES at 80%

Conflux filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ10 YES at 84%

Conflux sold Ṁ6 NO from 85% to 87%

Joshua sold Ṁ65 YES from 88% to 85%

Conflux bought Ṁ5 NO from 90% to 88%

Joshua bought Ṁ20 YES from 89% to 90%

Conflux sold Ṁ12 NO from 85% to 89%

alleycat sold Ṁ33 YES from 87% to 85%

Joshua sold Ṁ26 YES from 88% to 87%

Conflux sold Ṁ5 NO from 86% to 88%

Joshua sold Ṁ43 YES from 88% to 86%

Joshua sold Ṁ89 YES from 91% to 88%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ7 NO at 91% (cancelled)

alleycat bought Ṁ100 YES from 91% to 92%

alleycat bought Ṁ50 YES from 89% to 91%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ100 YES at 89% (cancelled)

alleycat bought Ṁ50 YES from 86% to 88%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ5 NO at 86% (cancelled)