Will Proof School be held in person for each day of the 2023-24 school year?
11
131
210
Jun 10
94%
chance

It counts if a small number of people join online, for every originally planned day of the 2022-23 school year. It also counts if, for logistical reasons, the plans for a school day only include a subset of students (such as AP calc testing day, SAT day, or a day when some students are on a field trip).

However, it doesn't count if a school day would be better described as "hybrid" than "in person".

A YES looks fairly likely, but reasons for NO include a potential covid resurgence, wildfire smoke, extreme flooding, or whatever else the world throws at us.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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predicts YES

I am weirdly excited for the new season of proof-school-as-represented-on-manifold

predicts YES

@jcb screenshotting this to post on the proof manifold groupchat