Will Jimmy Carter be alive on October 1 (his 99th birthday)?

Plus

288

Ṁ210k

resolved Oct 1

Resolved

YES

ALL

He's beaten some of the market predictions so far! Resolves according to whatever time zone Jimmy Carter is in.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Jimmy Carter

#Death markets

Get

1,000

and

3.00

27 Comments

229 Holders

2.1k Trades

Sort by:

predicted YES

sheeeeesh the manaaaa

predicted YES

It sure seems like he's still alive. Not entirely clear how much of this is from yesterday vs. today, but I think if he'd died before today we'd see a different article here.

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/01/jimmy-carter-celebrating-99th-birthday-with-family-00119314

Jimmy Carter celebrating 99th birthday with family

“If Jimmy Carter were a tree, he’d be an towering, old Southern oak,” commentator Donna Brazile said.

predicted NO

It's Oct 1 in Eastern Time, so if he's alive right now this should resolve YES! However, I'll wait until tomorrow morning just because deaths are often not reported instantly.

predicted NO

@Conflux reasonable 👍 congrats to the carter fam. tbh, I hope he hits 100 even if I'm betting against him. I had a g-gma who passed that point and damn that was cool