Will Jimmy Carter be alive on October 1 (his 99th birthday)?
288
4.4k
1.9k
resolved Oct 1
Resolved
YES

He's beaten some of the market predictions so far! Resolves according to whatever time zone Jimmy Carter is in.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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predicted YES

sheeeeesh the manaaaa

predicted YES

It sure seems like he's still alive. Not entirely clear how much of this is from yesterday vs. today, but I think if he'd died before today we'd see a different article here.

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/01/jimmy-carter-celebrating-99th-birthday-with-family-00119314

predicted NO

It's Oct 1 in Eastern Time, so if he's alive right now this should resolve YES! However, I'll wait until tomorrow morning just because deaths are often not reported instantly.

predicted NO

@Conflux reasonable 👍 congrats to the carter fam. tbh, I hope he hits 100 even if I'm betting against him. I had a g-gma who passed that point and damn that was cool

Jimmy Carter Leadership GIF by GIPHY News
predicted NO
Die Season 3 GIF by The Office
predicted YES

sure looks like a w for now (no jinxing)

predicted NO
predicted YES

you fuckers didnt believe

bought Ṁ508 of YES

@IamLormenkal Magical people!!!

predicted NO

@Mirek dis magic troll n*igga gon live forever smh

predicted NO
futurama asks GIF

(and peanuts)

predicted NO
predicted NO
bought Ṁ10,000 YES

@8 why do i do this for 6%

predicted NO

@8 sell now, lock up a profit

predicted NO

I'm realizing this is a terrible market to be taking losses in, since it might affect both league seasons :(

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

If I sold out this market would go to 0.8% so much for panik sell D:

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Quitting manifold if this resolves no

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@8 +1

predicted YES

@8 real

bought Ṁ1 of NO

@8 absolute plagiarism

bought Ṁ722 of YES

1k+ YES limit at 80, if anyone wants it.

sold Ṁ851 of YES
predicted YES

@SemioticRivalry Thanks, you too