I plan to publish a post soon on my blog Chromatic Conflux with updates on https://tinyurl.com/confluxblog/post/is-69-unique. However, I also have a blog tradition where the first post every year is called "The Conflux [previous year]" and gives a rundown of my posts from that year (eg: https://tinyurl.com/confluxblog/post/the-conflux-2021).
This resolves YES when the nice numbers update releases or NO when The Conflux 2022 does. I will extend close date as needed until I release one of these.
I like the idea of having the nice numbers update first, so it's the first post after the original post; and also so The Conflux, a good blog introduction, stays as my most recent post for a while. However, if I published The Conflux later, it'd be unclear whether it should review the nice numbers update, consistency hobgoblins. In theory I could publish the nice numbers update today, which avoids the problem but requires getting my act together and writing it.
I basically haven't started writing either. Like, one sentence on the nice numbers update.
I can be convinced on which to post first!
I will not bet on this market.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Close date updated to 2023-01-13 11:59 pm
https://beautifulthorns.wixsite.com/home/post/the-conflux-2022
Sorry Josh, I don't know why you were so confident!