Will I get accepted to PAIR?
17
310Ṁ2155
resolved Jun 17
Resolved
NO

Resolves N/A if I don't apply, but I probably will. (See /astyerche/will-conflux-apply-to-esprpair-with) It's pair.camp.

they can't reject me if i mention my manifold clout right

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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predictedNO 1y

“We would like to share that you were among the top applicants we interviewed. However, the competition was extraordinarily strong this year, and we had fewer spots to offer than the number of remarkable applicants we encountered.”

predictedYES 1y

@Conflux they yield protected :(

1y

I think my interview went well!

predictedYES 1y

mention your manifold clout, it will most likely help

predictedNO

I reached the interview! ~100-200 people down to ~30-40 for PAIR and ~30-40 for ESPR, but I’m only applying for PAIR myself.

predictedYES 1y

@Conflux LETS GO 🥳 we can make it if we try

predictedYES 1y

@Conflux thank you for making it cheaper while i was buying yes btw

predictedNO 1y

@astyerche (To explain for other bettors - power creep received an email saying they got an interview a few days ago, while I had received no such email, which I found worrying. However, I think it’s just because I submitted the tasks later that my email was also later?)

1y

Have you applied?

predictedNO 1y

@RobertCousineau Yes, sorry for not updating the market! I reached Stage 2, which was Tasks, and I think I did pretty well.

But apparently there are ~400 applicants in Stage 2 (down from 1200 total), of which they’ll only accept like 40 or something? So the base rates are not good

predictedNO 1y

But I’ve done things with low base rates before, and I feel like I vibe with PAIR

1y

@Conflux I wish you luck! You totally should mention your Manifold clout - you made my time here more fun, and made the site a better place.

predictedNO 1y

@RobertCousineau That’s so nice of you to say! Anything in particular?

predictedNO 1y

@Conflux you make generally high quality markets and comments. Your world prediction market ones have clear criteria and you are responsive, your self resolving are atleast interesting (The Market was fun to watch!), and Nice Numbers was a good find/shoutout!

predictedNO 1y

@RobertCousineau Thank you, those are definitely goals of mine!

2y

did you already apply :o

2y

@astyerche no but I filled out some of the questions

2y

@Conflux what do you think is the best question to get to know you? asking for a friend

this is jokes, i already have one

2y

@astyerche lmao 😂

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