Will another Manifold team member announce they’re leaving by end of May?
12
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Ṁ487Ṁ300
May 31
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Specifically, James, Stephen, David, Sinclair, Ian, Inga, or Marshall.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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@nikki gonna say that mqp counts but not Joshua or Genzy. idk if I have a principled reason other than that mqp was in my list (and he’s been around longer, so feels more like the manifold team to me). hopefully that doesn’t feel too arbitrary?
@saulmunn oh wait really? oops. well, I’ll remove Alice from the description. happy to comp anyone affected
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