Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Amid airspace closure, when will I get home from Puerto Rico to California?
5
Ṁ1.1kṀ1.7k
resolved Jan 6
100%27%
Mon, Jan 5
58%
Sun, Jan 4
2%
Tue, Jan 6
2%
Wed, Jan 7
2%
Thu, Jan 8
2%
Fri, Jan 9
2%
Sat, Jan 10
1.7%
Sun, Jan 11
3%Other

I'm staying in San Juan, Puerto Rico on vacation with my family. We were planning to take a Delta flight tomorrow (Sun, Jan 4) (connecting through Minneapolis). My Stanford quarter starts on Mon, Jan 5.

But now after the Venezuela airstrikes, the Caribbean airspace is temporarily closed. We don't know what we're going to do.

Delta's website is currently saying rebooked travel should begin no later than Fri, Jan 9. But who knows? This might change.

We're open to alternative itineraries if you have any ideas! We have some willingness to spend money to get home earlier. Unfortunately we don't have our passports, so we can't go through other countries.

Resolves based on the day when I get either to my family's home or college dorm in the San Francisco Bay Area. Note that to match the common perception of day, days will end "AOE" (at 4am Pacific Time). Thus, if we end up taking the original flight scheduled to arrive at SFO around midnight, that would likely count as "Sun, Jan 4" even if the California time is technically "Mon, Jan 5."

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ389
2Ṁ30
3Ṁ20
Sort by:

Made the Sunday flight out of Puerto Rico! It was like 30 mins delayed though, something about fuel, and Delta was unhelpful with helping us make the connection in Minneapolis, so we stayed the night in Minneapolis and I got home today

Mood is optimistic, but not definite.

  • Delta still says “on time” for our flight

  • Guy in Puerto Rico said he thought we would make our flight tomorrow (apparently Maduro was briefly in PR but is now on the east coast?)

  • I looked on flightradar24 and saw a few flights from US airlines headed for Santo Domingo

  • Secondhand anecdote of someone in JFK seeing a flight leave for San Juan (couldn’t find this on flightradar24 though)

We booked a Delta flight for Sun, Jan 11, connecting through Atlanta. It has a 24 hour cancellation, so we’ll cancel if the original flight comes through or we get a better option from calling the airline etc.

@Conflux According to the Delta app, the flight tomorrow does not display as cancelled. Is this option underrated?

@Conflux Oh also, when we called Delta, they didn’t rebook us bc they were like “it’s not showing as cancelled”

We're still on hold trying to rebook. But Google Flights literally doesn't have anything before Thursday, and there are limited options before the next weekend.