Today, I posted an experimental first edition of Above the Fold: Manifold Politics! As of late, Manifold’s politics arm has been building itself into a premier platform for viewing electoral probabilities. I felt like it would be nice to supplement that with an analysis column. But right now, it’s unclear what the future format or frequency will be.

Please comment with suggestions you have for this newsletter column! If you make any suggestions which are helpful or end up being implemented, I will personally give you at least 100 mana, perhaps beyond 1000 for especially good suggestions.

General policy for my bounty markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my stated criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the bounty market, I may pay out funds according to the bounty market's spirit or not at all.