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MANIFOLD
On December 31, will there be more mentions of "Biden" than "Trump" on Google News? [OPTICF23BA]
32
αΉ€570αΉ€1.1k
resolved Jan 4
Resolved
NO

Resolution Criteria

On December 31, one of the OPTIC organizers will open Google News in an incognito tab of Google Chrome from California. They will use cmd+F to find the number of mentions of "Biden" and "Trump" (case insensitive) on the page. If Biden has more mentions, this question will resolve YES. If Trump has more mentions or they have an equal number of mentions, this question will resolve NO.

Background Info

Joe Biden is the current president of the United States, and Donald Trump was the previous president. Both were major party competitors in the 2020 presidential elections, and both are running in the 2024 elections.

Google News is a news aggregator developed by Google, likely the largest in the world.

This question was part of the OPTIC Fall 2023 Bay Area forecasting tournament (organized by @toms, @saulmunn, and @JingyiWang). I loved the questions, so I'm copying them (with permission) to Manifold (from private Metaculus). If resolution is unclear, I will copy whatever decision is made by OPTIC!

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