Will Trump's margin in republican primary polls fall below 20pp before the Iowa caucuses?
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resolved Jan 22
Resolved
NO

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Resolves based on difference to second place candidate on FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/

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@CodeandSolder The margin is much larger than 20%

Resolves NO

@TheBayesian sorry for the delay

@CodeandSolder this should close on Jan 15th, before the caucuses start

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