Will Trump be nominated and what will his popular vote result be?
Basic
21
Ṁ12kresolved Nov 9
100%61%
Republican nomination, >2M popular vote victory
1.2%
Not on the ballots, >10M write-in votes
1.2%
Not on the ballots, (2-10]M write-in votes
1.1%
Not on the ballots, [0-2M] write-in votes
16%
Republican nomination, [0-2M] popular vote victory
10%
Republican nomination, (0-2M] popular vote loss
1.2%
Republican nomination, (2-4]M popular vote loss
1.1%
Republican nomination, (4-6]M popular vote loss
1.1%
Republican nomination, (6-10]M popular vote loss
1.1%
Repulican nomination, >10M popular vote loss
1.1%
Independent/3rd party, [0-10M] Votes
1.2%
Independent/3rd party, (10-25]M Votes
1.1%
Independent/3rd party, >25M Votes
1.1%Other
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00