Will @JamesBills rug his Ponzi scheme?
Basic
29
Ṁ13k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES

We at Code, Solder, Consensual Money Arrangements and sons take honesty in scheming very seriously and are highly worried over markets in question.

Resolves YES if a significant fraction of payouts in /JamesBills/manifolds-second-completely-legal-p is not made as promised.

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sold Ṁ248 YES

@CodeandSolder if he pays out now it'll probably resolve >95% after community discussion but I'd rather not have any mana on the line when making the decision

Am I missing something? He said he'd pay out on the 15th, and he didn't. Isn't that a rug-pull?

@Joshua Yeah, I agree, the resolution criteria have already been met.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan Even if it gets paid later, it wasn't paid out "as promised".

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan I was thinking later would be more PROB, with YES if he moves the money out somewhere else, but I don't feel strongly about that

predicted YES

@CodeandSolder He hasn't moved the money yet, but it's been almost two weeks since the payouts were promised. Would you consider it a YES if he doesn't pay out by the closing time of this market?

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan yeah, that certainly sounds like the correct option

@CodeandSolder Will not paying out on the date promised (today) count?

@lukres Ah nice, I didn't notice it before. It's a legitimate enterprise after all. I encourage everyone to join!

@lukres it does say "as promised", I think it should be at least PROB

I wonder if rugging would be a bannable offense

@brubsby i think you could bundle it under a number of the community guidelines at the discretion of admins.

https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Community-Guideline-f6c77b1af41749828df7dae5e8735400

predicted YES

@JamesBills Arguably not rugging is misleading, because I was promised a Ponzi scheme.

@JamesBills Are you going to pay or was it rigged after all?

Buy YES to hedge against the rug pull

I hope he will pay 🙄

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