Will Arizona have >80% voter turnout in the 2024 presidential election?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ1285
Dec 31
3%
chance

This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.

They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.

see also:
/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-90-voter-turnout
/CodeandSolder/will-arizona-have-95-voter-turnout

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Was 79.9% in 2020.

@evergreenemily oops, some random site said 66, one moment..

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules