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MANIFOLD
Did "OBAMA CHEF DROWN IN SUSPICIOUS WAYS!"?
6
Ṁ130Ṁ118
resolved Aug 9
Resolved as
5%

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
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Resolving to 5% as a healthy person drowning on a lake while having a floating board is a bit odd but everything else looks non-suspicious

predictedNO

@CodeandSolder I'm most surprised that someone who didn't know how to swim decided to go paddleboarding. I've heard of people who didn't know how to swim drowning next to docks, so if I didn't know how to swim I would do my best to avoid bodies of water.