Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drop out of the Presidential race before November 1, 2024.
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resolved Aug 29
Resolved
YES

Election Day is November 5, 2024.

Question resolves when Kennedy announces he has dropped out of the race or he is physically unable to be elected.

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He has not withdrew from the race.

His campaign is suspended.

He has not dropped out.

He is still seeking to get a percentage of the vote to qualify as a third party next election.

He is encouraging voters to vote for him if they don't think their vote will spoil the outcome in their state.

This should not be resolved.

The other markets for whether he's dropping out have all resolved YES as well. It's an unprecedented situation for him to try to be removed from some state ballots but still ask to be included on others.

spread the word to the other markets Krantz lol... mods are in for a ruckus

bought Ṁ2,349 YES

This can resolve YES. He is attempting to remove his name from state ballots.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/23/politics/rfk-jr-suspends-campaign/index.html

Watching. Will resolve if/when announced.

bought Ṁ50 YES

That sounds like a bad deal for Harris if the alternative is him staying in the race. Maybe she should offer him a position in exchange for staying in the race and trying to siphon off Trump voters.

probably is worse than him not dropping out but shes captured a ton of uncommitted/independent voters and let's hope it's enough, also the trump team is more desperate now than the last time he asked for a job and I think it's less bad if he endorses trump🤞

predicted NO

It Seems talk of Joe Manchin joining the race might embolden RFK Jr.

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