Which day UTC will wikipedia reach 7,000,000 content pages?
45
1.7kṀ40k
resolved May 28
100%99.0%
28 May 2025
0.0%
20 May 2025
0.0%
21 May 2025
0.0%
22 May 2025
0.0%
23 May 2025
0.0%
24 May 2025
0.0%
25 May 2025
0.0%
26 May 2025
0.2%
27 May 2025
0.1%
29 May 2025
0.1%
30 May 2025
0.1%
31 May 2025
0.1%
1 June 2025
0.0%
2 June 2025
0.0%
3 June 2025
0.0%
4 June 2025
0.0%Other

Times for dates is UTC.

If necessary more dates will be added and close date pushed back.

  • Update 2025-05-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding early resolution if the milestone is reached on a date for which no specific market option currently exists:

    • If such an early resolution is anticipated before it occurs, the creator will add earlier date options for betting. The market would then resolve based on the correct added date.

    • If the event occurs on a specific date before a corresponding market option for that date has been created and made available, bets on 'Other' will resolve as true.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,398
2Ṁ595
3Ṁ416
4Ṁ378
5Ṁ215
Sort by:

Do you have the e act time it was reached ? I am sure it was on the 28 just want to know by how much I was off

@Gugra The exact article that hit 7 million is apparently still unknown, but it was created on or around 2:26 AM UTC based on the creation date of articles like this one that have been looked into as being the 7 millionth article

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 99.0% order

228 to go

Only 501 to go

What if it happens before May 20th?

@100Anonymous Don't think that will happen, but I have said extra dates can be added (they are split out of other). The description says

"If necessary more dates will be added and close date pushed back."
It wouldn't be necessary to push back the close date if it has happened or looks like it is going to happen soon i.e. before 20th.

So If it happens before 20th there are two possibilities -
1. it is seen as likely before happening and extra date(s) before 20th are added. In which case the date will resolve yes. Before this happens you can bet on 'other'.
2. It happens before dates are added. In this case, I don't think it matters whether I add the correct date and resolve that date or just resolve other as true immediately. A bet on other will make mana either way.

By content pages, do you mean english articles

cus theres already 63 million total wiki pages??

@105du Yes meant English content/article pages per link below. I think the 63 million figure includes talk pages and the like.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Statistics

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy