Musk 1/4 trillionaire when?

Ṁ90Ṁ8.3k

resolved Jul 5

Resolved

YES

ALL

Musk wealth per forbes https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/ list at

time of writing claim was $234.3bn. So not much further ($15.7bn) to go to be a 1/4 trillionaire.

This claim pays 100% if the happens by 31 July 2023

This claim pays 90% if the happens by 30 September 2023

This claim pays 80% if the happens by 31 December 2023

This claim pays 70% if the happens by 30 June 2024

This claim pays 60% if the happens by 31 December 2024

This claim pays 50% if the happens by 31 December 2025

This claim pays 40% if the happens by 31 December 2026

This claim pays 30% if the happens by 31 December 2027

This claim pays 20% if the happens by 31 December 2028

This claim pays 10% if the happens by 31 December 2030

If not by 1 January 2031 this claim pays 0%

UTC month end time will be the cut off. It is possible that periods when true are missed, so it may well be when there is first a comment here noting occurrence that is not disputed by reasonable evidence rather than when it first occurs.

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predictedYES

Next up 1/3 trillionaire. That is a 33% increase in wealth. :

Don't want too many options - too expensive but any thoughts on what date ranges to use?

Before Jan 1 2024

2024-2026

2027-2030

not before 2031

Does that sound sensible?

Now seen it, avoids any controversy:

1 Elon Musk $250.3 B

at time of this post when Tesla $281.86

predictedYES

$249.4bn with Tesla at 279.82

Reached $247bn up $9.6bn with tesla at $277.4 up $15.6. The high today was $284.25.

Looks like it may have been reached but I didn't see it at Forbes.

Thoughts on whether I should resolve this or wait until someone sees it at Forbes?

predictedYES

I am thinking this is pretty good evidence that it happened on 3rd July. If I can avoid controversy by waiting a couple of days I will do that but if Musk wealth declines I intend to resolve yes unless I get a lot of objections.