Will use leaderboard for Manifold plays poker deducting position after the tournament see comments at
https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-plays-poker-who-will-win-h-29002d3c6449
Adding markets unrelated to Manifold plays poker is not permitted and will be removed before settling this question.
Resolves with PROB= 100 if Pat Scott does not win hand, but with exception of hand winner, wins most (or loses least) from betting on all Manifold plays poker markets
PROB = 80 if Jason (terms as above)
PROB = 60 if Nickten (terms as above)
PROB - 40 if Fion (terms as above)
PROB - 20 if A (terms as above)
PROB = 0 if any single other trader (terms as above)
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ162 | |
2 | Ṁ29 | |
3 | Ṁ3 |
Chris R profits on main markets
Buy in 341
Deal 2
Flop 1
Turn 17
River -
So that is 361 profits plus 40 paid as managram for cheat making 401 that go to hand winner Pat Scott
For this market
Fion 1533-1521 = 12
Nickten 990-938=52
Chris R 3782 - 3237 = 545 so even if I further deduct the 361 above going to Pat, I think I still win this.
Strange result when I was only betting on clear and obvious public information.