(Maifold plays poker) Will Jason, A, and Christopher Randles be the tournament top 3 scorers (any order, =3rd counts)
(Maifold plays poker) Will Jason, A, and Christopher Randles be the tournament top 3 scorers (any order, =3rd counts)
4
110Ṁ60resolved Aug 15
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-plays-poker-3game-tourname
for rules and the last river market is at
I want lots of traders in a short time here so
20 mana, plus 5 mana for every trader over 15 will be given by me as a managram to a random trader on this claim. (eg market has 20 traders then I will give 45 mana managram to one of the traders.)
Random trader to be selected here via fairlyrandom bot random number.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.