Resolves YES if AMD's MI300, MI325, MI350, MI400 (or any successor MI-series accelerator) combined revenue in calendar year 2026 (Jan 1 - Dec 31, 2026) meets or exceeds $10 billion USD.

Source of truth: AMD's calendar-year 2026 revenue disclosures, as reported in AMD's Q4 2026 earnings call (typically late January / early February 2027) and 10-K filing. AMD has been disclosing data center segment revenue and providing color on MI-series shipments in recent earnings.

If AMD does not separately disclose MI-series revenue (only data-center segment total), the resolver uses analyst questions on the earnings call where AMD CFO/CEO confirms or denies a number, or the next subsequent 10-Q where breakdown is provided. If AMD's full-year 2026 disclosure is not available by 2027-02-28, market resolves based on best public evidence.

Resolution date: 2027-02-28.

About this market. This market is part of SCB/SCO Reference Run #001 — AI Compute (30-day longitudinal demonstration) under Leadership Under Uncertainty. It is a research-demonstration corpus, not a commercial product.

Open-Sources-Only Commitment. This market resolves only against publicly accessible sources (SEC filings, government data, public benchmark publications, public corporate communications). Subscription-gated analyst content is not used in resolution.

Creator-is-not-trader. The creator of this market does not place trades on it. Probabilities reflect community trading.

Pre-registration. Question wording, resolution criteria, and close date were locked before any market data was observed and cryptographically anchored on day 0 of the run via the SCB/SCO daily Merkle seal. See protocol.