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MANIFOLD
World Chess Championship Largest Leads Ratio
1
Ṁ100Ṁ127
resolved Dec 11
50%50%
Ding Liren
50%50%
Gukesh D

Resolves to

Gukesh D = Gukesh D's largest lead / Range of leads

Ding Liren = Ding Liren's largest lead / Range of leads

where Range of leads = Gukesh D's largest lead + Ding Liren's largest lead

The entire tiebreaker section is considered 1 game, so winning in tiebreaks is a lead of 1.

Examples:

  • if a player never has the lead, their largest lead is 0 it will resolve to 100% for the winner.

  • If a player is down 3-0 then comes back to 7-7 (never having the lead) and wins in tiebreaks it will resolve to 25% for the winner (lead of 1 at the end of the match) and 75% for the player who had a 3 pt lead.

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Both players lead by 1. Resolves to 50%

Essentially

75% if Gukesh wins next 2 games

67% if Gukesh get's 1.5/2 in next 2

50% otherwise