This market predicts how many teams among the Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC), Cleveland Cavaliers (CLE), and Boston Celtics (BOS) will reach their respective conference finals in the 2025 NBA playoffs. Resolution will be based on official NBA playoff results.
Resolution criteria: Count the number of these three teams that advance to their conference finals. Market resolves when both conference finals matchups are set.
Sources:
NBA Playoffs Bracket: https://www.nba.com/playoffs
Conference Finals Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NBA_conference_finals
Note that each of
OKC makes conference finals
CLE make conference finals
BOS makes conference finals
are essentially independent from another since it is highly unlikely that any of these teams meet before the conference final (since either CLE/BOS are likely to be the 1 seed and both are highly likely to finish as top 3 seeds)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ205 | |
| 2 | Ṁ37 | |
| 3 | Ṁ14 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
Why was 2 bet up to 70%?
I think all 3 teams are heavy favorites (>70%) to make the Conference Finals.
If you're (>50%) confident that exactly 2 will make the conference finals that means you think 2 of the teams are almost guaranteed to make the conference finals (>90%) and the 3rd has less than 30% of making it.
Which team do you think is unlikely to make the Conference finals?
OKC vs DEN/LAC?
CLE vs IND/MIL?
or BOS vs NYK/DET?
or do you think the events are correlated so that if two make it the 3rd is unlikely (idk maybe we think NBA is rigging the playoffs to have upsets?)
@ChinmayTheMathGuy here's a market I have for predicting the biggest upset