Election call time vs Winner
Basic
7
Ṁ541
Dec 5
16%
November 5th - Harris wins
27%
November 5th - Trump wins
22%
November 6th - Harris wins
8%
November 6th - Trump wins
14%
November 7th or later - Harris wins
13%
November 7th or later - Trump wins

Using the criteria from this market (Pacific Time, aka by 2:59 AM ET) for when election is called by 3 major organizations

https://manifold.markets/Torm/when-will-the-2024-presidential-ele

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Ṁ1,000
and
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