Resolves YES if Magnus Carlsen issues any form of apology to Hans Niemann regarding Carlsen's withdrawal from the tournament, tweet implying foul play, and the subsequent fallout.
He'd have to mention Hans Niemann by name and express regret for any backlash Niemann incurred. If he ambiguously mentions how he regrets having handled things more broadly, resolves NO.
Will resolve to the best of my discretion but welcome clarifying questions.
Sep 19, 1:50pm: Worth clarifying that this, of course, refers to a public apology or one verified by two or more trusted news outlets.
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https://www.vice.com/en/article/7k8w7x/magnus-carlsen-resigns-after-one-move-in-chess-rematch-with-hans-niemann
This market is only about Magnus apologizing for Sinquefield cup shenanigans and tweet. If he apologies to Niemann for resigning after one move, it still resolves NO unless he mentions more broadly his actions in the Sinquefield cup.
Magnus may have the intellectual curiosity and range of a chess robot, but he knows enough not to apologize
https://unherd.com/thepost/never-apologise-never-explain-turns-out-to-be-right/