Will Lionel Messi play on turf in a competitive MLS or Leagues Cup match by the end of 2024?
Will Lionel Messi play on turf in a competitive MLS or Leagues Cup match by the end of 2024?
9
190Ṁ1052resolved Oct 22
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
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The market resolves as "YES" if Lionel Messi participates in a competitive Major League Soccer (MLS) match or a Leagues Cup match that takes place on a turf field at any point during the 2023 or 2024 MLS regular or post seasons, or during the 2023 or 2024 Leagues Cup.
A competitive match is defined as any official match that counts towards MLS league standings or is a part of the Leagues Cup, including regular season, playoff matches, and Leagues Cup matches.
Messi must be a participant in the match, meaning he must be on the field playing for at least part of the game for the market to resolve as “YES.”
The market will resolve as "NO" if Messi does not meet the above criteria by the end of 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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