Will Tokamak Energy's construction and testing of its Demo4 unit be complete by 12/31/2024?
Mini
8
218
2025
24%
chance

Tokamak Energy, founded in 2009, is focused on developing affordable and competitive fusion energy using their two world-leading technologies: compact spherical tokamaks and High Temperature Superconducting (HTS) magnets.

The spherical tokamak, a more efficient alternative to the traditional doughnut-shaped plasma, offers the smallest and most cost-effective solution for fusion energy.

Tokamak Energy's roadmap includes completing the ST80-HTS in 2026, demonstrating the potential of HTS magnets in a high field spherical tokamak. This will inform the design of the fusion pilot plant, ST-E1, which aims to deliver electricity to the grid in the early 2030s, producing up to 200 MW of net electrical power.

Read the Demo4 announcement here:

https://www.tokamakenergy.co.uk/2023/07/11/12-million-amps-tokamak-energy-magnet-system-to-replicate-extreme-fusion-power-plant-forces/

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

@CharlesCarriere presumably this is meant to have a close date of 12/31/2024 instead of 06/30/2024?

When I set up this question, I was trying to make sure that it wasn't gamed towards the end of the deadline. However, I realize that most folks want to participate up to the last minute. Will try and adjust the close date.

@CharlesCarriere that make sense. The norm on Manifold is to have as little time between close and resolution as possible, in part because the short-term value of money is so huge because of compounding that people don't want their mana tied up unless absolutely necessary.