MANIFOLD
How well will I wingman @TonyPepperoni this week? [add responses]
21
Ṁ1.2kṀ1.2k
resolved Jun 15
Resolved
YES
He talks to someone
Resolved
YES
He gets a someone’s number
Resolved
YES
I get someone’s number
Resolved
YES
I get more action than him
Resolved
YES
I get laid
Resolved
YES
Ceces gets laid more times than Tony gets numbers.
Resolved
NO
He gets laid
Resolved
NO
He goes on 3 or more dates with the same person
Resolved
NO
A pick up line given in the comments works
Resolved
NO
Tony and Ceces hook up

I am @TonyPepperoni’s ex, and he is struggling. I am visiting downtown SF and we are going to go to some bars from 06/11-06/14. I am trying to get him as many dates as possible.

On a typical night out, I get about 1 number, 2 compliments and 2 free drinks, all from different people. On a typical night out, Tony doesn’t go outside, he is a goblin.

I enjoying dancing and chatting and I am fairly outgoing. Tony stays inside. But I believe in him! 🤠

Neither of us will bet on this market.

  • Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's evaluation of 'how well' they wingman will consider aspects beyond the number of dates, including:

    • Their skill in making themselves disappear once a conversation between Tony and someone else picks up.

    • Their ability to help Tony manage rejections effectively, fostering an attitude of respecting rejection and not taking it personally.

  • Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In evaluating 'how well' they wingman, the creator has specified that their standards, and Tony's, for interactions will be 'a bit higher than average'. This will factor into their subjective assessment of their performance.

  • Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In relation to a potential market answer where the creator gets laid, the creator has clarified the circumstances of such an event:

    • It involved someone they had been chatting with for a few days prior.

    • It occurred when both individuals arrived at the SF airport at the same time.

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i think tony needs a new place to meet ppl, bars suck

guys you can bet this to 100% tbh I have been thoroughly defeated. It’s 25 to 3 at the moment

So update, we have gone out for two nights. Not much luck but also weekdays.

@Ceces how does this work? How is action quantified?

@Ceces "Hey, did you see that new option that got added to the market?"

@Joshua I just did lol… you never know…

@Joshua the incentive 10% limit order i’m dying

@bens oh wait nvm you just filled it partially

Incredible. Good luck to both of you.

Update: @Ceces is going on another date

Apparently she was talking to multiple people before coming here

@TonyPepperoni It seems possible she made this market just to dunk on you

@Joshua it’s likely 😣

For a pickup line. I recommend the basic hey your cute what's your name. Not sure if that counts tho.

@Ceces HOW

You just got here?!

@TonyPepperoni We were chatting for a few days and arriving to SF at the airport at the same time.

@TonyPepperoni how tortoise vs hare would play out IRL

@TonyPepperoni no wayyyy???

Actual diabolical work by her.

@Ceces couple of questions.

1st are you a man or woman

2nd how high will both your standards be? specifically in respect be to get laid.

@Kfredric I am a woman. A bit higher than average for both of us.

bought Ṁ10 YES

What kind of bars are you going to? Places that you like or Tony likes (or both). I’m imagining a goblin might do better in a more low key environment.

@TonyBaloney cocktails bars so both.

@Ceces Thanks. Congrats on getting laid.

bought Ṁ5 YES

upvoting all the “he gets laid” options for good luck!🍀

as for the pickup line suggested in the comments, I’ll kick things off with “Hey babe, my ex made a prediction market about whether I’ll get laid this week. Wanna frontrun the rally together?”

I’ve found you gotta go niche on these things

boughtṀ25 NO

@ParvMahajan ye of little faith

@TonyPepperoni prove me wrong rooting for u heavy

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