Will more than 12% of Michigan Democratic primary votes on Feb. 27 be "uncommitted"?
Politics2024 DNC PrimariesMichigan
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resolved Feb 28
Resolved
YES

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bought Ṁ2,000 YES

If NYT's estimate of the percentage of the total vote that has been counted is correct, this is now mathematically guaranteed to resolve YES.

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

New York Times reports that "Uncommitted" is currently at 13.8%, with 85% of expected votes in. With those numbers, it would have to get less than 2% of the outstanding vote to go below 12% again. So this is virtually guaranteed to resolve YES. Even if NYT's estimation of the expected vote in is wrong, it would have to be way off for there to be any chance of a NO resolution.

bought Ṁ5 NO

The percentage has been getting lower as more votes are counted. It's at 12.9% currently, so it will be close.

bought Ṁ6 NO

Cast or counted on the 27th? I assume you mean cast, as this hasn't resolved yet.

@HthePenguin Cast

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