Will there be 30+ individuals with Date Docs profiles on Manifold by end of 2023?
14
48
250
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A

https://manifold.markets/date-docs

Only counts user profiles that are seeking romantic or sexual connection - profiles that are just looking for friends (if any) will be excluded.

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predicted NO

Why N/A? Looks like there are less than 30 to me.

@IsaacKing I posted resolution rationale under /CarsonGale/will-there-be-50-individuals-with-d. Given the circumstances in which the question was formed changed so materially over the course of the market I felt it better to resolve "N/A".

I could have resolved No, deciding that Manifold Love didn't count and the deprecated Date Docs page not having any profiles listed answered the question. Or I could have resolved Yes, interpreting the spirit of Manifold Date Docs as an early formation of what Manifold Love is now. I felt it was too ambiguous and resolved N/A.