Will my first child drive a car by age 21?
Basic
4
Ṁ562053
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I don't have kids, but tentatively expect to in the next 5 or so years. Market resolves n/a if I don't have a child by 2030.
The primary purpose of the ride must be for transportation. Toy cars do not count. A one-off joy-ride just for novelty purposes does not count.
I currently live in SF, but wouldn't be surprised if I move to a suburb later in life. I don't have a car, but my girlfriend does.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will my children need to learn to drive?
33% chance
Will I drive a car in 2030?
66% chance
Will I drive a car in 2040?
30% chance
Will a certain 18 year old crash a car in the next 12 months.
26% chance
More than 50% of children born in 2026 in the USA will not learn to drive
50% chance
Will I drive a car in 2050?
19% chance
Will I have my first child by August 2026?
89% chance