Will I get in a serious car accident by end of 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ2322026
11%
chance
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1W
1M
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This market will resolve as YES if I have to go to the hospital as a result of a car or bus accident that occurs before the end of 2025.
The accident can be caused by me or someone else, but it must not be staged or intentional for the purpose of manipulating this market.
I do not own a car, but my girlfriend does, and she drives me places probably 3 or 4 times a week (sometimes more). Occasionally, we will go on road trips where we are driving for 10+ hours at a time. I also take the bus 1 or 2 times a week in my commute to the office, which is 20 minutes away in downtown SF.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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