What will happen to my parents / their home from Hurricane Milton?

Standard

Ṁ12k

Oct 19

ALL

97%

Exterior building damage (siding, roof, etc.) requiring repair costing more than $25 or requiring more than 30 minutes of work

94%

Outdoor 'extra cleanup' requiring more than 1 hour of work

85%

Loss of electricity for more than 12 hours (cumulative)

59%

Interior home damage requiring repair costing more than $25 or requiring more than 30 minutes of work

58%

Physical harm to anyone in Land O' Lakes

19%

Structural damage to their home

13%

Loss of drinkable water for more than 12 hours

Any flooding

Multiple windows broken

1.1%

Physical harm to either of my parents

Resolved

YES

Able to evacuate Florida before Milton hits

My parents live in Tampa Bay Area and are trying to decide whether to evacuate. They live in Land 'O Lakes, near the Tampa Bay Area, which is ~11 miles outside of the nearest evacuation zone. See this link below for more information on evacuation zones, and type in "Land O' Lakes" to see their general location:

https://pascogis.pascocountyfl.net/evaczone/finder.html

Pasco County Evacuation Zone Lookup

Their home is very glass-heavy - they have tall windows across almost the entire home. They have a pool in their backyard and live right next to a large pond and several nearby lakes.

Despite being in a "No Evacuation Zone", I'm worried that being only 11 miles outside of the nearest zone, having glass windows, and living near large bodies of water puts them in danger of Hurricane Milton. Please help me estimate the danger to my parents and their house from this hurricane.

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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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#2024 Hurricane Season

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Able to evacuate Florida before Milton hits

bought Ṁ30 Able to evacuate Flo... NO

I'm betting this down a bit to account for the chance that they evacuate to somewhere else in Florida rather than evacuating Florida entirely. Could be misplaced -- I don't know what your parents' plans are -- but it's a possibility.

Wishing the best!

Please feel free to continue trading as best you can on any of these markets - I'm seeking this information out as it is helpful to combat misinformation and my own desire to catastrophize .

EDITED: After additional discussion, they are evacuating now.

Tampa Mayor Jane Castor: “I can say this without any dramatization whatsoever: If you choose to stay in one of those evacuation areas, you are going to die.”

(they are 10 miles away from the nearest evacuation area...)

Exterior building damage (siding, roof, etc.) requiring repair costing more than $25 or requiring more than 30 minutes of work

@Eliza Intended to be a nothingburger monitor.

Loss of drinkable water for more than 12 hours

@Eliza Tried to think of some answers that would help inform someone's decision to leave the location. Not that I have any insight into what the actual likelihood is.....

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