Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will I restart studying German before the end of 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ9
Dec 31
28%
chance

Background:

Last summer I was studying German with the goal of reading original texts. I got to B1 before stopping, due to "feeling the AGI" too much and deciding continuing study wasn't the best use of my time.

Resolution criteria:

Resolves YES if, at any point between market creation and Dec 31, 2026, I resume a consistent German self-study routine (or comparable effort — e.g., re-enroll in structured tutoring, plan on enrolling in language school, etc.)

Otherwise, it will resolve to NO at closing.

As this is a personal matter, the market will resolve based on my own records and verification of my study activity.

Related markets: Will I return to school Fall 2026?

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!