Who will come in second place (popular vote) in the 2024 Iowa Republican caucus?
6
Ṁ200Ṁ105resolved Oct 11
ResolvedN/A
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
22%
Donald Trump
45%
Ron DeSantis
22%
Nikki Haley
11%
Tim Scott
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Apologies for the early resolution (apparently I can’t edit the description now). I realized too late that I hadn’t included the standard Other option that would allow me to add another candidate if the circumstances shifted. My exclusion of Vivek Ramaswamy was also arbitrary; I had forgotten to make the basic check of how he was polling (as it turns out, FiveThirtyEight had him roughly tied with Sen. Scott).
Below is my corrected market, for those who still trust me to adjudicate properly (it’s certainly understandable if they now don’t 😖).
People are also trading
Related questions
Which party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Who will win the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
Which party will win Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Who will be elected in Iowa's 2026 Gubernatorial Election?
Who will win the 2028 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses?
In 2026, who will Iowa elect to the U.S. Senate?
Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Republican primary for president?