Governor Ron DeSantis has seen a steep and sustained drop in his support in the 2024 Republican primary race since reaching impressive heights after his landslide re-election last year. Meanwhile, entrepreneuer Vivek Ramaswamy's insurgent campaign has caught fire, and is on the cusp of double digits as of this writing.

Which of the two will lead six weeks from now? Or will another candidate manage to catch them? This market will resolve on October 15, based on FiveThirtyEight's national polling average that day. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/

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Betters are also encouraged to vote on my parallel market: