In which month of 2024 will Apple reveal its first new iPad of the year
Apple "Let Loose" Event•Apple•iPad•Apple Let Loose Event
8
267
Ṁ765
2025
0.1%
January
0.2%
February
0.6%
March
0.7%
April
95%
May
1.1%
June
0.3%
July
0.3%
August
0.4%
September
0.4%
October
0.4%
November
0.2%
December
0.3%
None in 2024

Definitions

  • month means the month in San Francisco as defined by https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/usa/san-francisco at the moment of reveal

  • reveal means releasing the product's price in the US. (e.g. releasing a photo of the product does not count) The release must be official. (e.g. a leak does not count)

  • new iPad means a previously unavailable product with the word "iPad" in the name that has a touchscreen larger than the Apple iPhone 13 Pro in inches diagonally. This product must differ from existing products in more than one property. (e.g. a new color for an existing iPad does not count)

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Arbitrage opportunity with this market (which should roughly equal the inverse of “May“ here, instead of being higher): https://manifold.markets/RachelFreedman/will-apple-release-a-new-ipad-by-ma?r=Sm9uYXRoYW5NYW5uaGFydA

Related https://manifold.markets/esusatyo/will-apple-release-an-ipad-air-with?r=ZXN1c2F0eW8

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