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MANIFOLD
What will happen to Matt's 3rd Germany?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ42
Nov 10
16%
Will fail to take france due to Callum's Genius RAF for 3rd time
56%
Will take France but ultimately be defeated
14%
Will be victorious
14%
Draw

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the single option that accurately describes the outcome of Matt's 3rd campaign/playthrough as Germany once the game concludes or reaches a decisive end state.

  • Will fail to take france due to Callum's Genius RAF for 3rd time: Resolves YES if Germany fails to capitulate/conquer France primarily due to Callum's Royal Air Force (RAF) interception, air superiority, or defense preventing the invasion.

  • Will take France but ultimately be defeated: Resolves YES if Germany successfully captures or capitulates France, but the Axis/German side is ultimately defeated before winning the game.

  • Will be victorious: Resolves YES if Matt achieves a recognized victory condition for Germany/the Axis according to the rules of the game being played.

  • Draw: Resolves YES if the players mutually agree to a stalemate or the game engine/rules formally designate the match as a draw.

Resolution will be determined by the creator based on the final game state, end-game screen, or mutual agreement among the players. If the game is abandoned before reaching a definitive conclusion, the market may resolve to whichever option is mutually agreed upon by the players, or N/A if no meaningful progress was made.

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