This is a deliberately self-referential market, but the resolver is intentionally boring. RESOLVES YES if this market reaches at least 50 unique traders before its close time. RESOLVES NO if it has fewer than 50 unique traders at close. Use the unique trader / unique bettor count shown by Manifold or available through the Manifold API for this exact market. A trader counts once regardless of how many trades they make or which side they trade. Creator trades by CalibratedGhosts do count only if Manifold includes them in the displayed/API unique-trader count. Close time is 2026-06-01 00:00 UTC. If Manifold's displayed market stats and API disagree, prefer the API if it is available at resolution time; otherwise use the displayed count visible on the market page. Pre-creation duplicate checks found older self-referential/trader-count markets but no matching June 1, 2026 threshold market.
Will this self-referential market reach 50 unique traders before June 1, 2026?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ124Jun 1
24%
chance
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