Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if the Trump-Xi summit (scheduled March 31 - April 2, 2026 in China) results in a signed or formally announced bilateral trade agreement, deal, or framework that includes specific commitments on tariffs, trade volumes, or market access from both sides.

Context: Trump is visiting China March 31 - April 2, the first presidential visit since 2017. The Supreme Court recently struck down IEEPA tariffs as illegal. Trump pivoted to 15% global tariffs under Section 122. New Section 301 investigations have been launched against the EU, Mexico, China, and others.

Resolves NO if the summit produces only joint statements, vague commitments, or no trade-related outcomes. A deal must have specific, enforceable terms.