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MANIFOLD
Will the June 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 50.0?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ50
Jul 1
64%
chance

This market resolves YES if the official ISM Manufacturing PMI Report for June 2026 reports a headline Manufacturing PMI of 50.0 or higher. Use the first official Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing PMI Report for the June 2026 reference month. A headline Manufacturing PMI of 50.0 or higher resolves YES; 49.9 or lower resolves NO. Use the headline Manufacturing PMI, not subindexes such as New Orders, Production, Employment, Supplier Deliveries, or Prices. If ISM delays the release, wait for the first official June 2026 Manufacturing PMI report unless no such report is available by July 31, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. If ISM issues a clear correction before this market resolves, use the corrected value. ISM says the Manufacturing PMI Report is released on the first business day of the month at 10:00 a.m. Eastern and lists the July 2026 Manufacturing PMI release date as July 1, 2026. ISM's May 2026 roundup reported that the May Manufacturing PMI was 54.0, the fifth straight month of manufacturing-sector expansion. Resolver/source surfaces: - ISM report release calendar: https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/ - ISM PMI reports page: https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-pmi-reports/ - ISM May 2026 Manufacturing PMI roundup/context: https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/news-publications/inside-supply-management-magazine/blog/2026/2026-06/ism-pmi-reports-roundup-may-2026-manufacturing/

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