Will Brent crude oil drop below $100 per barrel by April 30, 2026?
2
Ṁ200Ṁ70Apr 30
54%
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Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if the Brent crude oil spot price drops below $100.00 per barrel at any point before April 30, 2026, according to major commodity exchanges (ICE) or financial data providers (Bloomberg, Reuters).
Context: Brent crude peaked at ~$126/bbl in March 2026 due to the Iran war and Hormuz closure. Iran has signaled partial reopening of Hormuz for "non-hostile" vessels, causing some price relief. If a ceasefire is reached or Hormuz fully reopens, a significant price drop is possible.
Resolves NO if Brent crude stays at or above $100/bbl throughout the period.
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