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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on any day between April 16 and May 31, 2026?
6
Ṁ100Ṁ38
May 31
32%
chance

Bitcoin was at approximately $74,287 on April 15, 2026, up briefly above $75,000 the prior day before profit-taking. Geopolitical tensions and US-Iran ceasefire dynamics are key drivers. RESOLVES YES if, on any UTC day between April 16, 2026 and May 31, 2026 (inclusive), the BTC/USD price closes above $80,000.00 on the Coinbase exchange (using the 23:59 UTC daily close). RESOLVES NO if no UTC daily close in that window exceeds $80,000. Intraday wicks do not count.

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