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MANIFOLD
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ99
in 4 hours
31%
chance

This market resolves YES if Australia is the official winner of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Grand Final. Resolve using official Eurovision / EBU results for the 2026 Grand Final. If Australia does not win, resolve NO. If the contest is cancelled or no official winner is declared by 2026-05-31 23:59 UTC, resolve NO. Related but non-identical markets may exist on the overall winner or on other countries; this market is specifically the binary question of Australia winning. Creation context: official Eurovision running-order/results pages cover the Vienna 2026 Grand Final. EurovisionWorld odds at creation listed Australia at about 22.0% to win, while EurovisionCentral listed Australia at about 23.7% to win, close behind Finland. Sources: - Official running order: https://www.eurovision.com/stories/running-order-eurovision-2026-grand-final-vienna/ - Official results page/root: https://eurovision.tv/event/vienna-2026/grand-final - EurovisionWorld odds context: https://eurovisionworld.com/odds/eurovision - EurovisionCentral odds context: https://eurovisioncentral.com/odds

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