Welcome to Manifold Plays Twenty Questions. Could you walk away with Ṁ1000?

First, before the game, use the "Vote for" options above to select whether you want to guess a person, a place, or a thing. The option with the highest percentage by August 23 at 9 PM Pacific time (August 24 at 4:00 UTC) will determine the category, and will resolve YES while the others resolve NO. There are three possible answers depending on which category is chosen, all of moderate difficulty. The SHA256 hash of the answer document is 1c9ec486f3a1aa9a1001f8aecdba0931005ddab1757b2b54b6730d464647a3cf.

Once the game begins, add questions as entries to this market for Ṁ10. There is no limit to the number of questions, except maybe Manifold's technical limits on the number of entries in a market. If this becomes a problem, I might make another market.

At 9 PM Pacific time (4:00 UTC) each day, I will close the market and sort all entries by percentage. Then starting from the highest-percentage entries, I will resolve each of them YES if they are true up until the first entry that is false, which resolves NO. Likewise, starting from the lowest-percentage entries, I will resolve each of them NO if they are false up until the first entry that is true, which resolves YES. There might be some delay between the market closing and the market resolving; please ping me if I forget.

When you are ready to make a guess, do NOT add it to this market. Instead, use Manifold's messages system to privately message me with your guess for all the marbles (Ṁ1000). If you guess incorrectly, you will be eliminated from winning the Ṁ1000 prize, and your embarrassingly wrong guess will be publicly displayed to all players on the Wall of Shame. In other words - don't be wrong! I will be the arbiter on what counts as correct. The prize will be paid out using Manifold's Payments feature as soon as I can pay it.

Good luck! I will not bet on this market.

WALL OF SHAME

No incorrect guesses yet...