If the top chatbot in 2025 "thinks" before responding to a difficult prompt, will its thoughts be human-interpretable?
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1kṀ1217resolved Sep 19
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If the market below resolves YES, will the thoughts produced by the top chatbot be interpretable to humans?
If that market resolves NO, this one will resolve to N/A.
A clear case for NO would be if the thoughts are encoded as vectors that don't correspond to natural language. A clear case for YES would be if the chatbot gives all of its reasoning in well-formed English. If the thoughts contain some steganography or obfuscation, but it's possible to understand the main thrust of the chatbot's reasoning, it would still count as YES.
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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