If Trump refuses to debate Kamala Harris, will we see a >5% drop in his Manifold election win % within a week?
4
100Ṁ72
resolved Sep 11
Resolved as
26%

Based on probabilities immediately before the debate begins and whether his polling percentage drops 5 points from that value AT ANY POINT within the following week. Results will be based upon this market:

US Politics
Politics
Trump
2024 US Presidential Election
Kamala Harris
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ3
2Ṁ2
3Ṁ2
4Ṁ1
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy