If Trump refuses to debate Kamala Harris, will we see a >5% drop in his Manifold election win % within a week?
4
100Ṁ72
resolved Sep 11
Resolved as
26%

Based on probabilities immediately before the debate begins and whether his polling percentage drops 5 points from that value AT ANY POINT within the following week. Results will be based upon this market:

️ Politics
🇺🇸 US Politics
Trump
🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
Kamala Harris
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